Jens Hainmueller
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Preprints and Reprints

Working Papers
"How Much Should We Trust Estimates from Multiplicative Interaction Models? Simple Tools to Improve Empirical Practice" (with J. Mummolo and Y. Xu)
"The Ideological Basis of the Grexit Debate" (with K. Bansak, M. Bechtel and Y. Margalit).
"krls: A Stata Package for Kernel-Based Regularized Least Squares" (with J. Ferwerda and C. Hazlett).
"Policy Design and Domestic Support for International Bailouts'' (with M. Bechtel and Y. Margalit).
"The Socially Conscious Consumer? Field Experimental Tests of Consumer Support for Fair Labor Standards" (with M. Hiscox).
Media Coverage: New York Times,
Boston Review
"Buying Green? Field Experimental Tests of Consumer Support for Environmentalism" (with M. Hiscox).
Media coverage: Boston Review 

Published Articles
"How economic, humanitarian, and religious concerns shape European attitudes toward asylum seekers" (with K. Bansak and D. Hangartner). Science. 2016.
"Catalyst or Crown: Does Naturalization Promote the Long-Term Social Integration of Immigrants?" (with D. Hangartner and G. Pietrantuono). American Political Science Review. Forthcoming.
"When Lives Are Put on Hold: Lengthy Asylum Processes Decrease Employment Among Refugees" (with D. Hangartner and D. Lawrence). Science Advances. 2016.
Media Coverage: Link.
"Does Direct Democracy Hurt Immigrant Minorities? Evidence from Naturalization Decisions in Switzerland" (with D. Hangartner).  American Journal of Political Science. Forthcoming 2015.
Link to project website and media coverage: citizenship.ch
"Naturalization Fosters the Long-Term Political Integration of Immigrants" (with D. Hangartner and

G. Pietrantuono). 
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015.
Link to project website and media coverage: citizenship.ch
"Do Lower Caseloads Improve the Effectiveness of Active Labor Market Policies? New Evidence from German Employment Offices" (with B. Hofmann, G. Krug, and K. Wolf).  Scandinavian Journal of Economics. Forthcoming 2015.
"Does Lean Capability Building Improve Labor Standards? Evidence from the Nike Supply Chain" (with G. Distelhorst and R. Locke). Management Science. Forthcoming. 2015.
"Validating vignette and conjoint survey experiments against real-world behavior" (with T. Yamamoto and D. Hangartner). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2015.
"Comparative Politics and the Synthetic Control Method" (with A. Abadie and A. Diamond). American Journal of Political Science. 2015.
"Assessing the External Validity of Election RD Estimates: An Investigation of the Incumbency Advantage" (with A. Hall and J. Snyder). Journal of Politics. 2015.
Link to: Online appendix
"Consumer Demand for the Fair Trade Label: Evidence from a Field Experiment" (with M. Hiscox and S. Sequeira). Review of Economics and Statistics. 2015.
Media Coverage: Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Boston Review, Monkey Cage, New Yorker
Link to: Online appendix
"On the Validity of the Regression Discontinuity Design for Estimating Electoral Effects: New Evidence from Over 40,000 Close Races" (with A. Eggers, O. Folke, A. Fowler, A. Hall, and J. Snyder). American Journal of Political Science. 2015.
Link to: Online appendix
"Reality Bites: The Limits of Framing E ffects for Salient and Contested Policy Is-
sues
" (with M. Bechtel, D. Hangartner, M. Helbling). Political Science Research and Methods. 2015.
"Do Concerns about Labour Market Competition Shape Attitudes Toward Immigration? New Evidence" (with M. Hiscox and Y. Margalit). Journal of International Economics. 2015.
Link to: Online appendix
"The Hidden American Immigration Consensus: A Conjoint Analysis of Attitudes Toward Immigrants" (with D. Hopkins). American Journal of Political Science. 2015.
Link to: Online appendix

Media Coverage: Washington Post
"Causal Inference in Conjoint Analysis: Understanding Multi-Dimensional Choices via Stated Preference Experiments'' (with D. Hopkins and T. Yamamoto). Political Analysis. 2014.
Link to: Online appendix.
Link to: Example Scripts to Estimate AMCE from Conjoint Data
"Political Capital: Corporate Connections and Stock Investments in the U.S. Congress, 2004-2008" (with A. Eggers). Quarterly Journal of Political Science. 2014.
Link to: Online appendix.
"Kernel Regularized Least Squares: Reducing Misspecification Bias with a Flexible and Interpretable Machine Learning Approach" (with C. Hazlett). Political Analysis. 2014.
Link to: Online Appendix
Link to: Companion Software
Preferences for International Redistribution: The Divide Over the Eurozone Bailouts" (with M. Bechtel and Y. Margalit). American Journal of Political Science. 2014.
Link to: Online appendix
Media Coverage: New York Times
"Public Attitudes toward Immigration" (with D. Hopkins).  Annual Review of Political Science. 2014.
"Who Gets a Swiss Passport? A Natural Experiment in Immigrant Discrimination" (with D. Hangartner). American Political Science Review. 2013.
Link to: Online Appendix
Link to project website and media coverage: citizenship.ch
"Capitol Losses: The Mediocre Performance of Congressional Stock Portfolios, 2004-2008" (with A. Eggers). Journal of Politics. 2013.
Link to: Online Appendix
Media Coverage: Bloomberg
, Wall Street Journal, Barrons, The Atlantic, US Today, Boston Globe, ABC News, Yahoo Finance, The Hill, Washington Post, New York Times
"ebalance: A Stata Package for Entropy Balancing" (with Y. Xu). Journal of Statistical Software. 2013.
Link to: Companion Software
"Entropy Balancing: A Multivariate Reweighting Method to Produce Balanced Samples in Observational Studies." Political Analysis. 2012.
Link to: Online appendix
Link to: Companion Software
"How Lasting is Voter Gratitude? An Analysis of the Short- and Long-term Electoral Returns to Beneficial Policy" (with M. Bechtel). American Journal of Political Science. 2011.
Link to: Online appendix
Media Coverage: Die Zeit, Neue Zuericher Zeitung
"Synth: An R Package for Synthetic Control Methods in Comparative Case Studies" (with A. Abadie and A. Diamond). Journal of Statistical Software. 2011.
Link to: Companion Software
"Attitudes Towards Highly Skilled and Low Skilled Immigration: Evidence from a Survey Experiment" (with M. Hiscox). American Political Science Review. 2010.
Link to: Online appendix
Media Coverage: New York Times, Der Spiegel
"Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program" (with A. Abadie and A. Diamond). Journal of the American Statistical Association. 2010.
Link to: Companion Software.
Amstat News Article
"MPs for Sale?  Estimating Returns to Office in Post-War British Politics" (with A. Eggers). American Political Science Review. 2009.
Media Coverage: Guardian, The Independent
"Opium for the Masses: How Foreign Free Media Can Stabilize Authoritarian Regimes" (with H. Kern). Political Analysis. 2009.
Link to: Online Supplement
Media Coverage: New York Times
"Incumbency as a Source of Spillover Effects in Mixed Electoral Systems: Evidence from a Regression-Discontinuity Design" (with H. Kern). Electoral Studies. 2008.
Link to: Online appendix
"Educated Preferences: Explaining Individual Attitudes Toward Immigration in Europe" (with M. Hiscox). International Organization. 2007.
   Links to online appendices:
 PDF (Contains our formal discussion of open-economy models of immigration)
 PDF (Analysis of Immigrant Skill Data)
 PDF (Results of Robustness Checks)
 PDF (Results with Recoded Dependent Variables)
"Learning to Love Globalization: The Effects of Education on Individual Attitudes Toward International Trade" (with M. Hiscox). International Organization. 2006.
   Links to online appendices:
PDF (Results for Robustness Checks and Additional Surveys)
PDF (Analysis of economic literacy vs. tolerance)    
"Electoral Balancing, Divided Government, and Midterm Loss in German State Elections" (with H. Kern). Journal of Legislative Studies. 2006.