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Technology Glass Is Half Full
There was a time not long ago we thought the only things you needed
for survival were a decent modem and an ergonomic keyboard. Beyond
that there wouldn't be any need to leave your house for even a bag
of groceries or a drug prescription.
But before we knew it, the plug was pulled on the likes of Napster,
Groceries, Pets and a lot of other dot coms that suddenly vanished
into virtual air. Those days may be gone for now but not for good,
according to a panel of technology experts at Stanford University's
law school Monday night.
Leading the discussion titled, 'The Good News About the New, New
Economy,' was Mozelle Thompson a commissioner on the Federal Trade
Commission. Next to Thompson and facing a crowd of about 200 were
the CEO of Hewlett-Packard, Carly Fiorina; CEO of the former Napster,
Hank Barry; Stanford law professor Larry Lessig, and president of
Sony Pictures Digital Entertainment, Yair Landau.
Thompson guided the discussion as some of Silicon Valley's most
experienced offered varied opinions on what's in store for their wounded
industry.
Barry, expressing optimism said that what the country needs is a
strong economic package.
During the high tide of dot com U.S.A., no idea was a bad idea as
long as someone could connect a business plan with the Internet. Venture
capital firms handed out millions of dollars to almost anyone who
could put show online potential, but that's not the case now.
"Venture investing is down 70 percent ." Barry said.
Fiorina, of HP, said that "During the fever of dot coms we forgot
some of the fundamentals. We forgot that fundamentals matter and you've
got to make a profit eventually."
The panel told the audience of students, professors and people from
the community that it's important to take a step back and learn from
recent business mistakes in hopes of not repeating them.
One area of immediate concern is accessibility. According to these
experts, technologies like cell phones, home computers and the Internet
are still too complicated and expensive, which makes it impossible
to reach people who cannot afford them.
The role of government and its involvement in the technology industry
is a much debated subject. How much regulation is needed in a democracy
that prides itself on operating in a successful free market? The panel
agreed that government inherently has a place in e-commerce, but to
what degree is a matter of opinion.
"We all recognize we're moving into new world, it's extraordinarily
exciting," Barry said. "But we must get together with government
to figure out how to move forward."
Fiorina added, "Government can and should play a role in minimum
standards not maximums."
The panelists said getting the technical industry back on a profitable
track requires putting consumers in the driver's seat. Never before
the advent of the Internet, have consumers wielded this much control
over the relationship between buyers and sellers.
"The key as an investor is to make sure there's a market for
our goods," Barry said.
Landau, of Sony Pictures, said that the "Internet is catalyst
for new economy. "It's brought capitol to new levels, we are
now part of global marketplace."
Crucial to reestablishing a strong technology market is the notion
of new and creative ideas. The panelists hoped a downturn in the economy
doesn't bring an end to new possibilities.
"Innovation brought you Napster," Barry said. "We
ought to let that innovation flourish."
"Napster changed to the world of music forever and we're not
going back," Fiorina said.
Law professor Lessig takes a more pessimistic view about the future
of technology. "Napster worked because people wanted music and
they got it," Lessig said. "The problem was they didn't
have to pay for it."
The balance must lie somewhere in the middle, some members of the
audience concluded. As third year Stanford law student, Peter Suen,
walked away from the lecture Monday night he said, "We don't
have all of the answers."