Most variables we have looked at so far were continuous:

`height`

,`rating`

, etc.In many situations, we record a categorical variable:

`sex`

or`gender`

,`state`

,`country`

, etc.We call these variables

*categorical*or*qualtitative*variables. In`R`

, these are referred to as`factors`

.For our purposes, we want to answer:

**How do we include this in our model?**

This will eventually lead us to the notion of *interactions* and some special regression models called
*ANOVA* (analysis of variance) models.

In [1]:

```
options(repr.plot.width=4, repr.plot.height=4)
```

In some sense, we have already seen a regression model with categorical variables: the two-sample model.

Two sample problem with equal variances: suppose $Z_j \sim N(\mu_1, \sigma^2), 1 \leq j \leq m$ and $W_j \sim N(\mu_2, \sigma^2), 1 \leq j \leq n $.

For $1 \leq i \leq n$, let $$X_i = \begin{cases} 1 & 1 \leq i \leq m \\ 0 & \text{otherwise.} \end{cases}$$

In this example, we have data on salaries of employees in IT (several years ago?) based on their years of experience, their education level and whether or not they are management.

Outcome:

`S`

, salaries for IT staff in a corporation.Predictors:

`X`

, experience (years)`E`

, education (1=Bachelor’s, 2=Master’s, 3=Ph.D)`M`

, management (1=management, 0=not management)

In [2]:

```
url = 'http://stats191.stanford.edu/data/salary.table'
salary.table <- read.table(url, header=T)
salary.table$E <- factor(salary.table$E)
salary.table$M <- factor(salary.table$M)
```

Let's take a quick look at how `R`

treats a `factor`

In [3]:

```
str(salary.table$E)
```

In [4]:

```
plot(salary.table$X, salary.table$S, type='n', xlab='Experience', ylab='Salary')
colors <- c('red', 'green', 'blue')
symbols <- c(23,24)
for (i in 1:3) {
for (j in 0:1) {
subset <- as.logical((salary.table$E == i) * (salary.table$M == j))
points(salary.table$X[subset], salary.table$S[subset], pch=symbols[j+1], bg=colors[i], cex=2)
}
}
```

In these pictures, the slope of each line seems to be about the same. How might we estimate it?

Make six separate models (one for each combination of

`E`

and`M`

) and estimate the slope.Combining them: we could average them?

We have few degrees of freedom in each group.

IF it is reasonable to assume that $\sigma^2$ is constant for each observation.

THEN, we can incorporate all observations into 1 model.

Above, the variables are:

$$ E_{i2} = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if $E_i$=2} \\ 0 & \text{otherwise.} \end{cases} $$

$$ E_{i3} = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if $E_i$=3} \\ 0 & \text{otherwise.} \end{cases} $$

Although $E$ has 3 levels, we only added 2 variables to the model. In a sense, this is because

`(Intercept)`

(i.e. $\beta_0$) absorbs one level.If we added three variables then the columns of design matrix would be linearly dependent so we would not have a unique least squares solution.

Assumes $\beta_1$ – effect of experience is the same in all groups, unlike when we fit the model separately. This may or may not be reasonable.

In [5]:

```
salary.lm <- lm(S ~ E + M + X, salary.table)
summary(salary.lm)
```

Now, let's take a look at our design matrix

In [6]:

```
head(model.matrix(salary.lm))
```

In [7]:

```
head(model.frame(salary.lm))
```

Our model has enforced the constraint the $\beta_1$ is the same within each group.

Graphically, this seems OK, but how can we test this?

We could fit a model with different slopes in each group, but keeping as many degrees of freedom as we can.

This model has

*interactions*in it: the effect of experience depends on what level of education you have.

Model: $$\begin{aligned} S_i &= \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_i + \beta_2 E_{i2} + \beta_3 E_{i3} +\ \beta_4 M_i \\ & \qquad + \beta_5 E_{i2} X_i + \beta_6 E_{i3} X_i + \varepsilon_i. \end{aligned}$$

What is the regression function within each group?

Note that we took each column corresponding to education and multiplied it by the column for experience to get two new predictors.

To test whether the slope is the same in each group we would just test $H_0:\beta_5 = \beta_6=0$.

Based on figure, we expect not to reject $H_0$.

In [8]:

```
model_XE = lm(S~ E + M + X + X:E, salary.table)
summary(model_XE)
```

In [9]:

```
anova(salary.lm, model_XE)
```

`X:E`

denotes an *interaction*. Generally, `R`

will take the columns added for `E`

and the columns added
for `X`

and add their elementwise product (Hadamard product) to the design matr.x

Let's look at our design matrix again to be sure we understand what model was fit.

In [10]:

```
model.matrix(model_XE)[10:20,]
```

We can also test for interactions between qualitative variables.

In our plot, note that Master's in management make more than PhD's in management, but this difference disappears in non-management.

This means the effect of education is different in the two management levels. This is evidence of an

*interaction*.To see this, we plot the residuals within groups separately.

In [11]:

```
plot(salary.table$X, salary.table$S, type='n', xlab='Experience', ylab='Salary')
colors <- c('red', 'green', 'blue')
symbols <- c(23,24)
for (i in 1:3) {
for (j in 0:1) {
subset <- as.logical((salary.table$E == i) * (salary.table$M == j))
points(salary.table$X[subset], salary.table$S[subset], pch=symbols[j+1], bg=colors[i], cex=2)
}
}
```

In [12]:

```
r = resid(salary.lm)
k = 1
plot(salary.table$X, r, xlim=c(1,6), type='n', xlab='Group', ylab='Residuals')
for (i in 1:3) {
for (j in 0:1) {
subset <- as.logical((salary.table$E == i) * (salary.table$M == j))
points(rep(k, length(r[subset])), r[subset], pch=symbols[j+1], bg=colors[i], cex=2)
k = k+1
}
}
```

`R`

has a special plot that can help visualize this effect, called an `interaction.plot`

.

In [13]:

```
interaction.plot(salary.table$E, salary.table$M, r, type='b', col=c('red',
'blue'), lwd=2, pch=c(23,24))
```

Based on figure, we expect an interaction effect.

Fit model $$\begin{aligned} S_i &= \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_i + \beta_2 E_{i2} + \beta_3 E_{i3} +\ \beta_4 M_i \\ & \qquad + \beta_5 E_{i2} M_i + \beta_6 E_{i3} M_i + \varepsilon_i. \end{aligned}$$

Again, testing for interaction is testing $H_0:\beta_5=\beta_6=0.$

What is the regression function within each group?

In [14]:

```
model_EM = lm(S ~ X + E:M + E + M, salary.table)
summary(model_EM)
```

In [15]:

```
anova(salary.lm, model_EM)
```

Let's look at our design matrix again to be sure we understand what model was fit.

In [16]:

```
head(model.matrix(model_EM))
```

*experience* and *management* having a
different symbol/color.

In [17]:

```
r = rstandard(model_EM)
plot(salary.table$X, r, type='n')
for (i in 1:3) {
for (j in 0:1) {
subset <- as.logical((salary.table$E == i) * (salary.table$M == j))
points(salary.table$X[subset], r[subset], pch=symbols[j+1], bg=colors[i], cex=2)
}
}
```

One observation seems to be an outlier.

In [18]:

```
library(car)
outlierTest(model_EM)
```

Let's refit our model to see that our conclusions are not vastly different.

In [19]:

```
subs33 = c(1:length(salary.table$S))[-33]
salary.lm33 = lm(S ~ E + X + M, data=salary.table, subset=subs33)
model_EM33 = lm(S ~ E + X + E:M + M, data=salary.table, subset=subs33)
anova(salary.lm33, model_EM33)
```

Let's replot the residuals

In [20]:

```
r = rstandard(model_EM33)
mf = model.frame(model_EM33)
plot(mf$X, r, type='n')
for (i in 1:3) {
for (j in 0:1) {
subset <- as.logical((mf$E == i) * (mf$M == j))
points(mf$X[subset], r[subset], pch=symbols[j+1], bg=colors[i], cex=2)
}
}
```

Let's make a final plot of the fitted values.

In [21]:

```
salaryfinal.lm = lm(S ~ X + E * M, salary.table, subset=subs33)
mf = model.frame(salaryfinal.lm)
plot(mf$X, mf$S, type='n', xlab='Experience', ylab='Salary')
colors <- c('red', 'green', 'blue')
ltys <- c(2,3)
symbols <- c(23,24)
for (i in 1:3) {
for (j in 0:1) {
subset <- as.logical((mf$E == i) * (mf$M == j))
points(mf$X[subset], mf$S[subset], pch=symbols[j+1], bg=colors[i], cex=2)
lines(mf$X[subset], fitted(salaryfinal.lm)[subset], lwd=2, lty=ltys[j], col=colors[i])
}
}
```

*management,M* and *education,E*. We can visualize this
by first removing the effect of experience, then plotting
the means within each of the 6 groups using *interaction.plot*.

In [22]:

```
U = salary.table$S - salary.table$X * model_EM$coef['X']
interaction.plot(salary.table$E, salary.table$M, U, type='b', col=c('red',
'blue'), lwd=2, pch=c(23,24))
```

Variable | Description |

TEST | Job aptitude test score |

MINORITY | 1 if applicant could be considered minority, 0 otherwise |

PERF | Job performance evaluation |

In [23]:

```
url = 'http://stats191.stanford.edu/data/jobtest.table'
jobtest.table <- read.table(url, header=T)
jobtest.table$MINORITY <- factor(jobtest.table$MINORITY)
```

`jobtest.table`

though I will detach it later.

In [24]:

```
attach(jobtest.table)
plot(TEST, JPERF, type='n')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 0)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 0)], pch=21, cex=2,
bg='purple')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 1)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 1)], pch=25, cex=2, bg='green')
```

In theory, there may be a linear relationship between $JPERF$ and $TEST$ but it could be different by group.

Model: $$JPERF_i = \beta_0 + \beta_1 TEST_i + \beta_2 MINORITY_i + \beta_3 MINORITY_i * TEST_i + \varepsilon_i.$$

Regression functions: $$ Y_i = \begin{cases} \beta_0 + \beta_1 TEST_i + \varepsilon_i & \text{if $MINORITY_i$=0} \\ (\beta_0 + \beta_2) + (\beta_1 + \beta_3) TEST_i + \varepsilon_i & \text{if $MINORITY_i=1$.} \\ \end{cases} $$

This has no effect for `MINORITY`

.

In [25]:

```
jobtest.lm1 <- lm(JPERF ~ TEST, jobtest.table)
print(summary(jobtest.lm1))
```

In [26]:

```
plot(TEST, JPERF, type='n')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 0)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 0)], pch=21, cex=2, bg='purple')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 1)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 1)], pch=25, cex=2, bg='green')
abline(jobtest.lm1$coef, lwd=3, col='blue')
```

This model allows for an effect of `MINORITY`

but no interaction between `MINORITY`

and `TEST`

.

In [27]:

```
jobtest.lm2 = lm(JPERF ~ TEST + MINORITY)
print(summary(jobtest.lm2))
```

In [28]:

```
plot(TEST, JPERF, type='n')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 0)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 0)], pch=21, cex=2, bg='purple')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 1)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 1)], pch=25, cex=2, bg='green')
abline(jobtest.lm2$coef['(Intercept)'], jobtest.lm2$coef['TEST'], lwd=3, col='purple')
abline(jobtest.lm2$coef['(Intercept)'] + jobtest.lm2$coef['MINORITY1'], jobtest.lm2$coef['TEST'], lwd=3, col='green')
```

This model includes an interaction between `TEST`

and `MINORITY`

. These lines have the same intercept but possibly different slopes within the `MINORITY`

groups.

In [29]:

```
jobtest.lm3 = lm(JPERF ~ TEST + TEST:MINORITY, jobtest.table)
summary(jobtest.lm3)
```

In [30]:

```
plot(TEST, JPERF, type='n')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 0)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 0)], pch=21, cex=2, bg='purple')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 1)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 1)], pch=25, cex=2, bg='green')
abline(jobtest.lm3$coef['(Intercept)'], jobtest.lm3$coef['TEST'], lwd=3, col='purple')
abline(jobtest.lm3$coef['(Intercept)'], jobtest.lm3$coef['TEST'] + jobtest.lm3$coef['TEST:MINORITY1'], lwd=3, col='green')
```

Let's look at our design matrix again to be sure we understand which model was fit.

In [31]:

```
head(model.matrix(jobtest.lm3))
```

This model allows for different intercepts and different slopes.

In [32]:

```
jobtest.lm4 = lm(JPERF ~ TEST * MINORITY, jobtest.table)
summary(jobtest.lm4)
```

In [33]:

```
plot(TEST, JPERF, type='n')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 0)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 0)], pch=21, cex=2, bg='purple')
points(TEST[(MINORITY == 1)], JPERF[(MINORITY == 1)], pch=25, cex=2, bg='green')
abline(jobtest.lm4$coef['(Intercept)'], jobtest.lm4$coef['TEST'], lwd=3, col='purple')
abline(jobtest.lm4$coef['(Intercept)'] + jobtest.lm4$coef['MINORITY1'],
jobtest.lm4$coef['TEST'] + jobtest.lm4$coef['TEST:MINORITY1'], lwd=3, col='green')
```

The expression `TEST*MINORITY`

is shorthand for `TEST + MINORITY + TEST:MINORITY`

.

In [34]:

```
head(model.matrix(jobtest.lm4))
```

Is there any effect of MINORITY on slope or intercept?

In [35]:

```
anova(jobtest.lm1, jobtest.lm4)
```

In [36]:

```
anova(jobtest.lm1, jobtest.lm2) # ~ TEST to ~ TEST + MINORITY
```

We could also have allowed for the possiblity that the slope is different within each group

In [37]:

```
anova(jobtest.lm3, jobtest.lm4) # ~ TEST + TEST:MINORITY to
# ~ TEST * MINORITY
```

`MINORITY`

on slope? (Assuming we have accepted the hypothesis that the intercept is the same within each
group).

In [38]:

```
anova(jobtest.lm1, jobtest.lm3) # ~ TEST vs. ~ TEST + TEST:MINORITY
```

Again, we could have allowed for the possibility that the intercept is different within each group.

In [39]:

```
anova(jobtest.lm2, jobtest.lm4) # ~ TEST + MINORITY vs. ~ TEST * MINORITY
```

In [40]:

```
detach(jobtest.table)
```

Already with this simple dataset (simpler than the IT salary data) we have 4 competing models. How are we going to arrive at a final model?

This highlights the need for *model selection*. We will come to this topic shortly.