Past Work

Recent Dissertations

“Firm Failure Risk: Analysis of the Property-Liability Insurance Industry”, August 2006. By Lea Deleris.

“Probabilistic Modeling of Insurgency”, June 2007. By Paul Kucik.

“Testing and Certification of Software: A Bayesian Approach to Test Case Dependencies”, June 2007. By James Benjamin

“Corner Cutting in Complex Engineering Systems: A Game-Theoretic and Probabilistic Modeling Approach”, September 2007. By Russ Garber.

“Quantitative Methods for Analyzing Engineering Defect Risks in Novel Projects”, December 2007. By John Chachere.

Analysis of National Strategies for Combating the Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, June 2010. By David Caswell.

“Probabilistic Early Warning Systems for National Security Crises”, December 2012. By David Blum.

Selected Papers with Past Students

Sachon, M, and M. E. Paté-Cornell. “Delays and Safety in Airline Maintenance”, Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety, Vo. 67, pp. 301-309, March 2000.

Paté-Cornell M. E. and M. Sachon. “Risks of Particle Hits During Space Walks in Low Earth Orbit”, IEEE Transactions on Aerospace and Electronic Systems, Volume 37, No. 1 pp. 134-146, January 2001.

Paté-Cornell M. E. and R. L. Dillon. “Success Factors and Future Challenges in the Management of Faster-Better-Cheaper Space Missions”, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. 48, No. 1, February 2001, pp. 25-35.

Dillon R. L. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “APRAM: An Advanced Programmatic Risk Analysis Method” International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management (IJTPM) Vol. 1, No. 1, pp. 47-65, April 2001.

Guikema S.D. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Assessment of the Effects of Biases on the Performance of a Portfolio of Missions”, International Journal of Aerospace Management, Vol. 1, No. 4, pp. 339-351, February 2002

Guikema S.D. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Component Choice for Managing Risk in Engineered Systems with Generalized Risk/Cost Functions,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 78, No. 3, pp. 227-238, December 2002.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. and S.D. Guikema. “Probabilistic Modeling of Terrorist Threats: a Systems Analysis Approach to Setting Priorities Among Countermeasures,” Military Operations Research, Vol. 7, No 4, December 2002.

R.L. Dillon, M.E. Paté-Cornell and S.D. Guikema. “Programmatic Risk Analysis for Critical Engineering Systems Under Tight Resource Constraints”, Operations Research Vol. 51, No. 3, pp. 354-370, 2003.

Guikema, S.D. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Bayesian Analysis of Launch Vehicle Success Rate”, Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets, Vol. 41, No. 1, pp. 93-102, January-February 2004.

Garber, R.G. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Modeling the Effects of Dispersion of Design Teams on System Failure Risk” Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets, Vol. 41, No. 1, pp. 60-68, January-February 2004.

Benjamin, J.L. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Risk Chair for Concurrent Design Engineering: Satellite Swarm Illustration”. Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets, Vol. 41, No. 1, pp. 51-59, January-February 2004.

Sachon M. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Managing Technology Development for Safety-Critical Systems”, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. 51, No. 4. pp. 451-461, November 2004.

Paté-Cornell, M.E., R.L. Dillon and S.D. Guikema. “On the Limitations of Redundancies in the Improvement of System Reliability”, Risk Analysis, Vol. 24, issue 6, pp 1423-1436, December 2004.

Dillon R.L. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Including Technical and Security Risks in the Management of Information Systems: A Programmatic Risk Management Model”, Systems Engineering, Vol. 8, No 1, pp.15-28, 2005.

Guikema, S.D. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Probability of Infancy Problems for Space Launch Vehicles”. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 87, No. 3, pp. 303-314, March 2005.

Dillon R.L., M.E. Pate-Cornell and S.D. Guikema. “Optimal Use of Budget Reserves to Minimize Technical and Management Failure Risks During Complex Project Development”, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. 52, No. 3, August 2005.

Paté-Cornell, M.E., R.L. Dillon. “The Respective Roles of Risk and Decision Analyses in Decision Support”, Decision Analysis, Vol. 3, No. 4, pp. 220-232, Dec. 2006.

Pietzsch J.B., L.M. Aquino, P.G. Yock, M.E. Paté-Cornell and J.H. Linehan. “Review of US Medical Device Regulation” Journal of Medical Devices,, Vol. 1, pp. 283-292, December 2007.

Pietzsch J.B. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Early Technology Assessment of New Medical Devices”, International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, Vol. 24, No. 1, pp. 37-45, 2008.

Pietzsch J.B., M.E. Paté-Cornell, P.G. Yock, Lauren A. Shluzas, and J.H. Linehan. “Stage-Gate Process for the Development of Medical Devices”, Journal of Medical Devices, Vol. 3, No.2, January 2009.

Deleris L.A. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Insolvencies in the American Property and Casualty Insurance Industry: a System’s Approach”, Risk and Decision Analysis, Vol. 3, pp.3-18, January 2012.

Caswell D.J., R.A. Howard and M.E, Paté-Cornell. “Analysis of National Strategies to Counter a Country’s Nuclear Weapons Program”, Decision Analysis, Vol. 8, No.1, pp. 30-45, March 2011.

Caswell D. and M.E, Paté-Cornell. “Probabilistic Analysis of a Country’s Program to Acquire Nuclear Weapons”, Military Operations Research, Vol. 16, No. 1, pp. 5-16, 2011.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. and L.A. Deleris. “Failure Risks in the Insurance Industry: A Quantitative Systems Analysis”, The Risk Management and Insurance Review,   Vol. 12, No. 2, pp. 199-212, 2009.

Garber R. G. and M.E. Paté-Cornell. “Shortcuts in complex engineering systems: a principal-agent approach to risk management”, Risk Analysis, Vol. 32, No. 5, 836-854, May 2012.

Paté-Cornell, M.E., with the collaboration of Seth Guikema, Paul Kucik, David Caswell and Russ Garber: “Games, risks and analytics: several cases involving national security and management situations”, Decision Analysis, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 186-203, June 2012.

Kucik and M.E. Paté-Cornell: “Counter-insurgency: a risk-based analysis of different strategies” Military Operations Research, Vol. 17. No. 4, December 2012.

Selected Papers by Professor Paté-Cornell

Paté-Cornell, M.E., “Warning Systems in Risk Management,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 6, No. 2, June 1986, pp. 223-234.

Paté-Cornell, M.E., “Organizational Aspects of Engineering System Safety: The Case of Offshore Platforms,” Science, Vol. 250, Nov. 1990, pp. 1210-1217.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. and P.S. Fischbeck, “Probabilistic Risk Analysis and Risk-based Priority Scale for the Tiles of the Space Shuttle,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 40, No. 3, pp. 221-238, 1993.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. “Learning from the Piper Alpha Accident: A Post-Mortem Analysis of Technical and Organizational Factors,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 13, No. 2, pp. 215-232, April 1993.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. “Uncertainties in Global Climate Change Estimates”, Climatic Change, Vol. 33, pp. 145-149, 1996.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. “Uncertainties in Risk Analysis: Six Levels of Treatment”, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 54, pp. 95-111, 1996.

Paté-Cornell, M. E. “Finding and Fixing Systems Weaknesses: Probabilistic Methods and Applications of Engineering Risk Analysis,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 22, No. 2, pp. 319-334, April 2002.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. “On black swans and perfect storms: risk analysis and management when statistics are not enough”, Risk Analysis, Vol. 32, No 11, pp.1823-1833, November 2012.

Paté-Cornell, M.E., A. Cox: “Lame excuses for poor risk management and some principles towards improvements of the practice”, in press in Risk Analysis, 2014.

Paté-Cornell M.E. “Greed and Ignorance: Motivations and Illustrations of the Quantification of Major Risks”, Proceedings of the study week on “Science for Survival and Sustainable Development” (March 12-16, 1999), pp. 231-270, Pontificiae Academiae Scientiarum Scripta Varia (The Pontifical Academy of Sciences), The Vatican, 2000.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. “Probabilistic Risk Assessment” The Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science, James J. Cochran Editor-in-Chief, Wiley Pub., 2009.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. “Accident Precursors” The Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science, James J. Cochran Editor-in-Chief, Wiley Pub., 2009.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. “Rationality and Imagination: The Engineering Risk Analysis Method and Some Applications” in Advances in Decision Analysis, Edward, Miles and von Winterfeldt Eds., Cambridge University Press, July, 2007.

Paté-Cornell, M.E. (with the collaboration of Russ Garber, Seth   Guikema and Paul Kucik), 2008: “Games and Risk Analysis: Three examples of single and alternate moves” in Game theoretic Risk Analysis of Security Threats, V. Bier and M.N. Azaiez, Eds, Chapter 7, pp. 147-175, Springer Pub., New York.