Publications

6. Hamsa Bastani, Mohsen Bayati, "Online Decision-Making with High-Dimensional Covariates" ( Job Market Paper )
Winner, 2016 Pierskalla Award for Best Paper in Healthcare.
Winner, 2016 George Nicholson Student Paper Competition.
Winner, 2016 MSOM Student Paper Competition.
Winner, 2016 IBM Service Science Best Student Paper Award.
Submitted to Management Science.

Big data has enabled decision-makers to personalize decisions at the individual-level. We present an efficient method to solve this problem in an online setting and a corresponding regret analysis. We provide both theoretical guarantees and empirical evidence that our algorithm significantly outperforms existing methods. Furthermore, we illustrate the practical relevance of our algorithm on a real clinical problem of warfarin dosing. Our algorithm correctly doses a majority of patients compared to both existing bandit methods as well as current physician practice.


5. Hamsa Bastani, Joel Goh, Mohsen Bayati, "Evidence of Upcoding in Pay-for-Performance Programs"
Winner, 2015 Health Applications Society Best Student Paper Award.
Revised & Resubmitted to Management Science.
News coverage: Science Daily.
*Previously circulated as "Evidence of Strategic Behavior in Medicare Claims Reporting."

Upcoding is the practice where medical providers alter claims to receive increased reimbursement. Prior studies on upcoding have been limited by unobserved confounders (e.g. provider quality and patient risk). We present a novel approach that exploits state-level variations in adverse event regulation and instrumental variables to detect upcoding at a national scale. We also make several policy recommendations for reducing upcoding.


4. Hamsa Bastani, Mohsen Bayati, Mark Braverman, Ramki Gummadi, Ramesh Johari, "Analysis of Medicare Pay-for-Performance Contracts"
Submitted to Management Science.

Medicare's pay-for-performance (P4P) programs are subject to a variety of practical and institutional constraints, such as the use of "small" performance-based incentives. We develop a framework based on a stylized principal-agent model to characterize the optimal P4P mechanism within any set of feasible mechanisms (this set can be flexibly modified to include institutional constraints). We apply our results to examine debated design choices in existing Medicare P4P programs, and offer several insights and policy recommendations.


3. Hamsa Bastani, Mohsen Bayati, Khashayar Khosravi, "Asymptotic Optimality of Greedy Policies for Online Decision-Making"
Working Paper. Draft available upon request.

The contextual bandit literature has traditionally focused on the exploration-exploitation tradeoff. Exploration-free greedy policies are often desirable in practice when experimentation is prohibitively costly or unethical (e.g., clinical trials), but may be sub-optimal in general. We prove that, under some assumptions on the distribution of the contexts, the greedy policy is asymptotically rate-optimal for the two-armed contextual bandit.


2. Hamsa Sridhar, Martin Cohen, John Noe, "Creating Optical Vortex Modes with a Single Cylinder Lens," Proc. SPIE 7613 (2010).


1. Charles Camp, Siva Yegnanarayanan, Ali Eftekhar, Hamsa Sridhar, Ali Adibi, "Multiplex coherent anti-Stokes Raman scattering (MCARS) for chemically sensitive, label-free flow cytometry," Opt. Express 17, 22879-22889 (2009).