Third Operational Requirement of Deterrence
•The final operational requirement is that nuclear arsenals are secure from accidents and unauthorized use
•Unfortunately, organizations change standard operating procedures after the threat has been noticed
•Evidence from US experience
–Test missile fired from Vandenberg Air Force base during Cuban Missile Crisis
–Staff at a Montana silo gave themselves independent ability to launch missiles
•New proliferants will choose an “opaque” path to proliferation, which is even more unstable
•Furthermore, new proliferants will not have the same time security that the US and USSR had