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2
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- Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) was the theoretical foundation of the
US-USSR nuclear relationship
- Anything that hindered the opponent from inflicting assured destruction
was considered “destabilizing”
- This premise was used by opponents of missile defenses
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3
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- Hoffman claims that MAD should not be the sole guiding principle, since
US-USSR relations are far more complicated
- Military competition around Soviet efforts at peripheral expansion and
American efforts to contain them
- For instance, according to Hoffman it is unclear whether we would really
retaliate if the USSR invaded Europe; mutual destruction was not
necessarily “assured”
- The USSR concentrated on its conventional forces in preparation for a
potential quick victory in Europe despite MAD
- Furthermore, the USSR maintained ballistic missile defenses, air
defenses, and shelters for political leaders
- Furthermore, MAD did not fit the domestic political structure of the
United States. The perverted logic was not really
acceptable to the American public, and the USSR even had reason to
believe that the West would not be able to keep up qualitatively
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- “Assured destruction” implies that only offensive weapons can make MAD
stable; defenses are only useful if they protect a nation’s second
strike capability
- However, defenses that reduce civilian casualties are inherently
destabilizing
- Even if one percent of offensive warheads were to get through an SDI
system, the US would have to survive one hundred nuclear attacks
- According to MAD doctrine, defense have to be “leakproof” to be useful;
semi-effective defenses are the worst
- Hoffman claims that missile defenses should be analyzed by how they
deter preemptive attack and reduce collateral damage
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- Less than comprehensive defenses will raise the offensive force
requirements
- Dual use missile defenses make economizing offensive forces for maximum
effectiveness difficult
- Since the attacker must assume that the defender has assigned the
majority of its defensive forces to each target, the defense has the
strategic advantage
- Given this premise, missile defenses may aid deterrence, since it
deceases the attacker’s preemptive advantage.
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- Is MAD an overly simplistic governing theory as Hoffman claims it is?
- Do partially effective defenses undermine deterrence or enhance it?
- Are missile defenses irrelevant in the context of a full scale attack?
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