•High Confidence that Iraq was “expanding its chemical, biological, and nuclear programs” •Claimed Iraq could produce a nuclear weapon within a year of gaining fissile material •Claimed that Iraq would “probably have a nuclear weapon during this decade” •Pointed to aluminum tubes, magnets, and high speed balancing machines as evidence that Iraq was seeking HEU (highly enriched uranium •Claimed that Iraq was purchasing fissile material from African states; British and American governments pointed to Nigeria as a supplier