The file WillBeLucky.pdf contains the article "You will be lucky
(enough) to break even" that will appear in "From Quirky Case to
Representing Space: Papers in Honor of Annie Zaenen, edited by
Tracy King and Valeria de Paiva. CSLI publications. It will
appear in the Fall of 2012.

This article examines the idiomatic uses of the construction "be
lucky to X" as in "you will be lucky to break even". The sentence
suggests that the complement clause, "you will break even", most
likely will turn out to be false. This sense is idiomatic in that it
is limited to the future tense with "will". In all other tenses
"be lucky to X" is a two-way implicative construction of the same
type as "manage to X". That is, "you were lucky to break
even" entails that you broke even, "you almost were lucky to
break even" entails that you did not break even. The idiom "will
be lucky to X" is brittle in that it can be ruled out by the context
and by slight modifications as in "you will be lucky enough to
break even". Replacing "lucky" by "lucky enough" forces the
literal, non-idiomatic interpretation, that is, you will break
even. We expose some of the many conditions, both linguistic and
contextual, that block the idiomatic reading of "will be lucky to
X" and discuss the implications of these findings for other complement
constructions.