Winter Quarter 2004
During the Winter Quarter, Dr. Koomey offered CEE 173R/207R.
Quantitative Methods for Forecasting Energy Futures. This course reviews
quantitative methods for forecasting and assessing energy futures,
including trend-based approaches, econometric projections, end-use
methods, computable general equilibrium models, scenario analysis,
and combined modeling approaches.
CEE 173Q: Quantitative methods
for forecasting energy futures (T/TH 1:15-2:30pm)
Description: This
course reviews quantitative methods for forecasting and assessing
energy futures, including trend-based approaches, econometric
projections, end-use methods, computable general equilibrium
models, scenario analysis, and combined modeling approaches.
As a case study, the course will assess the controversy surrounding
the economics of greenhouse gas emissions reductions. Will emissions
reductions hurt the economy as some have claimed, or might the
policy actions to achieve those reductions actually save money
in some instances? The
course will review the historical success of previous energy
and carbon emissions forecasting efforts, will critique top-down
and bottom-up modeling methods, and will explore the implications
of market imperfections and regulatory distortions for this policy
issue. It
will also summarize more general lessons for using analytic techniques
to explore the future in the face of the rapid technological
changes that pervade our age.
In spring quarter of 2004, Dr. Koomey taught a
class on combined heat and power (cogeneration) technologies.
These technologies have the potential to achieve substantial economic
and emissions savings compared to more conventional electricity generation
technologies. This class will prepare students to analyze
the economic, emission, energy, and water implications of these
technologies compared more conventional options.