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Additional Information
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Counterfactual Estimates for April 30th
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Cases (1,000s)
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Deaths (1,000s)
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Observed
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No policy – proportional
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March 17 policy – proportional
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SF distancing
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Note: This table presents both the observed cases and deaths (assuming a
 fatality rate of 3%) as well as those predicted by different counterfactual
 assumptions.
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Share of US Population residing in CSAs: 
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%
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