Finance 328
Macro Investment Analysis

Stanford Graduate School of Business
Professor William F. Sharpe
Spring, 1997

NOTE: This is for information only. Many of the links shown here are no longer accurate


  NOTE

This course is designed for students with access to the World Wide Web. Some material requires the use of a Netscape 3.0 (or above) browser and will not be accessible with other browsers.


Overview

The official title of this course is Portfolio Management, and the course will indeed cover the subject of portfolio management. However, we take a particular view of the process, with emphasis on (1) the decisions that must be made by and/or for the ultimate investor and (2) the analytic tools and empirical evidence that can help inform such decisions. As explained in the reading material, we prefer to use the more specific title Macro Investment Analysis to reflect this focus.


Teams

By the end of the second class, you will be expected to join a team of from three to five members. All exercises will be submitted by teams, and your grade will depend in large part on the quality of the work of your team. You are free to join with any other 2 to 4 members of the class for this purpose. You should make certain that at least one member of the team is reasonably facile with word processing and can move information to and from a web browser page.


Team Lists

Before class 3 a designated member of each team should send an email to the instructor listing:

Please send this email to:

wfsharpe@leland.stanford.edu


Team Sites

Each team will be required to complete assigned exercises according to a firm schedule. To facilitate this, each team will be given a site on the instructor's web server. For example, the address of the site for team 1 will be:

http://www-sharpe.stanford.edu/1

Access to each such site will require the team password that you choose. Do not give this password to anyone who is not a member of your team! All the material on your site is confidential and for the use only of your team. This includes your team's answers to the exercises. Under the honor code you are required to maintain this confidentiality both during and after the class, except as needed for oral presentations in class sessions.

Once your account is set up, you may access it with any browser. After you provide the correct name (Team1, etc.) and password, you will get an index of the pages on the site. For each exercise there will (eventually) be two files. For example:


Worksheets

Several of the exercises require the use of Worksheets prepared by the instructor. Independently, these may also prove helpful as aids to learning the material for the course. References to specific worksheets will be found in this course outline, in some of the reading material, and in some of the exercises.


Oral Reports and Excused Absences

The instructor will maintain a list of names of members of the class chosen randomly (with replacement). From time to time he will select the next person from the list to make an oral presentation to the class on some or all of the associated team's answers to the most recent exercise. This may be very short or relatively long, depending on the subject in question. For purposes of the presentation, the team's answer (e.g. EX1-2A) may be accessed in class. The presentation will be graded and used (if very good or very bad) to alter the person's course grade from that eventually assigned to the team in question.

An unexcused absence when called upon will be considered an extremely bad performance and may severely prejudice your grade in the course. You are entitled to one excused absence during the quarter. To obtain one, simply email the instructor (at wfsharpe@leland.stanford.edu) at least 24 hours before the class -- you need not give a reason. Excused absences will be given only under the most dire circumstances. If you wish to try to receive one, email the instructor at least 48 hours prior to the class. Unless you get an email from the instructor specifically authorizing the absence, it is unexcused.


Grades

Grades will be given to each team based on overall performance on the exercises. Each individual on the team will receive the team grade modified to account for the individual's performance(s) on any oral report(s).


Supplemental reading

The following books are recommended for those wishing to obtain foundation material, additional discussions, and/or another view on some of the subjects covered in the course.


Interesting Web Sites

Web sites that are particularly germane for specific topics are listed later. The following sites are of general interest vis-a-vis the subject of the course.

****** TO COME ***************


Course News

From time to time there will be news of interest (or at least relevance) for all the members of the course. Be certain to check the Course News Page from time to time. You may wish to bookmark it for easy access.

 


Course Site

Some material will be found on the course site. Its address is:

http://www-sharpe.stanford.edu/328

This is a password-protected site. If asked, give your team name as your id and your team password.. Under the honor code, you are expected to keep this password confidential and to not divulge it to anyone not registered for the class.


Course Material

At present, no printed textbook adequately covers the domain of this course. Instead, we will rely on the reading material described below. Material that is highlighted is only a click away via the web. The remainder of the material is included in the syllabus available to students registered for the course.

All the web material can be accessed from the instructor's site:

http://www-sharpe.stanford.edu

The instructor's goal is to provide all the material for this course on the web in a reasonably consistent and coherent form. Meanwhile, some of the subjects must be covered with material written in other forms for different audiences. To minimize confusion (the students' and also the instructor's), the latter's own publications were given a high priority in the selection process. Be assured that no royalties are involved.

In the list below, highlighted readings are on the web and can be obtained directly. The remainder must be obtained on paper.

The material listed for each session should be read before the date given. Those who have not read the material in advance may be confused, embarrassed and/or frustrated.

Due dates for exercises are shown. With the exception of Exercise 1, each team must retrieve its exercises from its own web directory on the instructor's server.

 


Exercises

 

Each of the following exercises is contained in an Excel Workbook. To configure your Netscape browser to deliver these files directly to Excel, choose Options, General Preferences, Helpers from the main menu. Check to see if Application/x-excel is included in the list that is displayed. If not, select "Create New Type" with Mime Type = application and mime-subtype = x-excel. It is a good idea to list the extension xls as well. Then select "Launch the application" and type in the address of your Excel.exe file (or browse to find it).

To submit an excercise, insert your answers in the appropriate places, then email the resulting Excel workbook as an attachment in an email to the instructor.

Exercise 1: Prices and Probabilities

Exercise 2: Derivative Securities

Exercise 3: Risks, returns and optimization

Exercise 4: Equilibrium

Exercise 5: Dynamic Strategies

Exercise 6: Performance Analysis

Exercise 7: Style Analysis

Exercise 8: Retirement Planning


Course Material

1. Introduction (April 2)

Required Reading (before class)

2. Matrix Algebra (April 4)

Required Reading (before class)

3. Prices (April 8)

Required Reading (before class)

4. Probabilities (April 11)

Required Reading (before class)

5. Risk and Return (April 15)

Required Reading (before class)

6. Optimization (April 18)

Exercise 1 due (submit before class)

Required Reading (before class)

7. Factor Models (April 22)

Required Reading (before class)

8. Equilibrium (April 25)

Exercise 2 due (submit before class)

Required Reading (before class)

9. Dynamic Strategies (April 29)

Exercise 3 due (submit before class)

Required Reading (before class)

10. International Investment (May 2)

Required Reading (before class)

11. Behavioral Finance and Market Anomalies (May 6)

Exercise 4 due (submit before class)

Required Reading (before class)

12. Performance Analysis (May 9)

Required Reading (before class)

13. Style Analysis (May 13)

Exercise 5 due (submit before class)

Required Reading (before class)

14. Financial Planning (May 16)

Required Reading (before class)

15. Global Tactical Asset Allocation: Mellon Capital Management (May 20)

Exercise 6 due (submit before class)

Speakers

Required Reading (before class)

16. Active Investment Management: Rosenberg Institutional Equity Management (May 23)

Speaker

Required Reading (before class)

17. Endowments: Stanford Management Company (May 27)

Exercise 7 due (submit before class)

Speakers

Required Reading (before class)

18. Defined Benefit Pension Plans: California Public Employees' Retirement System (May 30)

Speakers

Required Reading (before class)

19. Defined Contribution Pension Plans: Hewlett-Packard (June 3)

Exercise 8 due (submit before class)

Speaker

Required Reading (before class)

 


Changes

This page may change from time to time. It is expected that you will check it periodically. Ignorance of its latest content is not an excuse for lack of preparation.