July 22 – August 2, 2013
Snowmass, Colorado
Agenda, Presentations & Papers
Week One | Week Two
The Agenda: |Week One Agenda (146.9KB 
)|
Presentations: |July 23| |July 24| |July 25| |July 26|
|Session 1 Papers| |Session 2 Papers|
Monday, July 22
Session #1: Modeling Renewable Energy Initiative
(Organized by Doug Arent, Patrick Sullivan, Leon Clarke, Gunnar Luderer, and John Weyant)
Weyant, John - "Welcome & Introduction" |Weyant: Welcome & Introduction (50.9KB )|
Arent, Doug - "Introduction to Modeling Renewable Energy Initiative" |Arent: Introduction to Modeling Renewable Energy Initiative (revised) (2.4KB )|
Sullivan, Patrick - "Part 1: Global Wind Supply Curves" |Sullivan Part 1: Global Wind Supply Curves (4.1KB )|
Fujimori, Shinichiro - "Integrating New Wind Potentials at NIES" |Fujimori: Integrating New Wind Potentials at NIES (484.2KB )|
Sullivan, Patrick - "Part 2: IAM Crosscut - Resource Scenarios" |Sullivan Part 2: IAM Crosscut - Resource Scenarios (1.7KB )|
Supplement |Sullivan: Presentation Supplement (61KB 
)|
Bauer, Nico - "IAM Perspective on Wind Resource Potentials" |Bauer: IAM Perspective on Wind Resource Potentials (3.5KB )|
van Ruijven, Bas (moderator): General discussion about next steps to improve resource potentials for IAM's
Denholm, Paul - "Storage & Flexibility Options for VRRE Integration?" |Denholm: Storage & Flexibility Options for VRRE Integration? (7.0KB )|
Ueckerdt, Falko - "The Economics of Variability & Implications for IAM's" |Ueckerdt: The Economics of Variability & Implications for IAM's (2.1KB )|
Pietzcker, Robert - "Results from IAM low/high integration scenarios" |Pietzcker: Results from IAM low/high integration scenarios (revised) (951.4KB )|
Clarke, Leon - "IAM Discussion on Wind Energy" |Clarke: IAM Discussion on Wind Energy (4.3KB )|
Denholm, Paul - "Bottom-up Discussant on IAM VRRE integration"
Clarke, Leon (moderator):
-Discussion on possible future integration constraints
-Discussion of cost metrics for (and parameterization of) integration constraints
Next steps for VRRE Integration Analysis - ADVANCE meeting in November
Tuesday, July 23
Session #1 continued:
Bauer, Nico - "Crosscut - Competition & Carbon" |Bauer: Crosscut - Competition & Carbon (2.4KB )|
Wilson, Tom - "Technology Characterization: costs & other parameters" |Wilson: Technology Characterization Wilson: Technology Characterization (2.2KB )|
Sue Wing, Ian - "Technology Characterization in hybrid top-down, bottom-up models" |Sue Wing: Technology Characterization - Top-Down, Bottom-Up Integration (178.2KB )|
Miketa, Asami - "Importance of Modeling Renewables, a wide-angle perspective" |Miketa: Modeling Renewables - Wide-Angle Perspective (4.2KB )|
Weyant, John & Arent, Doug (moderators) - Group discussion: Priorities, Reactions, and Comments
Arent, Doug (moderator) - Next Steps for the Renewables Initiative: Special Issue? Time frame. Next study operating committee.
Weyant, John: "Integrated Impacts Overview" |Weyant: Integrated Impacts Overview 23-July (52.9KB )|
Papers & readings from Session #1:
Arent, Doug -
"Improved Offshore Wind Resource Assessment in Global Climate Stabilization Scenarios" |Arent: Improved Offshore Wind Resource Assessment in Global Climate Stabilization Scenarios (973.9KB )|
Paper authored by Yuyu Zhou, Patrick Lucklow, Steven J. Smith, and Leon Clarke: "PNNL EST Global Wind 2013" |Arent: PNNL EST Global Wind 2013 (1.7KB )|
Paper authored by Yabei Zhang, Steven J. Smith, G. Page Kyle, and Paul W. Stackhouse Jr.: "PNNL CSP Energy Policy Paper" |Arent: PNNL CSP Energy Policy Paper (1.2KB )|
Paper authored by Patrick Sullivan, Volker Krey, and Keywan Riahi: "Impacts of considering electric sector variability and reliability in the MESSAGE model" |Impacts of Considering Electric Sector Variability and Reliability in the MESSAGE model|
Paper authored by Falko Ueckerdt, Robert Brecha, Gunnar Luderer, Patrick Sullivan, Eva Schmid, Nico Bauer, and Diana Böttger: "Variable Renewable Energy in modeling climate change mitigation scenarios" |Ueckerdt: Variable Renewable Energy in modeling climate change mitigation scenarios (1.3KB )|
Bauer, Nico - "Climatic Change" |Bauer: Climate Change (554.7KB )|
Wednesday, July 24
Session #2: Integrated Climate Change Impacts Assessment
(Organized by Gary Yohe, Rich Richels, Tony Janetos, Max Tavoni, and John Weyant)
Weyant, John - "Integrated Impacts Overview" |Weyant: Integrated Impacts Overview 24-July (64.9KB )|
Aldy, Joe; Fawcett, Allen; Ciscar, Juan-Carlos; Huq, Saleem; & Richmond, T.C. (panelists) - "What do Policy Makers want to know? How do we communicate it?"
Kunkel, Ken - "Climate Extremes Research" |Kunkel: Climate Extremes Research (revised) (7.2KB )|
Weubbles, Don - "Climate Change Research - Recent Findings & New Directions" |Wuebbles: Climate Change Research (3.6KB )|
Fawcett, Allen - "What Policy Makers Want to Know" |Fawcett: What Policy Makers Want to Know (7.3KB )|
Fawcett, Allen - "CIRA - Estimating Avoided Impacts from GHG Mitigation" |Fawcett: CIRA - Estimating Avoided Impacts from GHG Mitigation (6.6KB )|
Ciscar, Juan-Carlos - "Integrated Assessment of Climate Impacts in Europe" |Ciscar: Integrated Assessment of Climate Impacts in Europe Ciscar: Integrated Assessment of Climate Impacts in Europe (2.6KB )|
Thursday, July 25
Session #2 continued:
Yohe, Gary (moderator) - Introduction
Kolstad, Charles - "Valuing Market & Non-Market Impacts" |Kolstad: Valuing Market & Non-Market Impacts (1.2KB )|
Wilbanks, Tom - "Role of Adaptation" |Wilbanks: Role of Adaptation Wilbanks: Role of Adaptation (5.5KB )|
Yohe, Gary & Anthoff, David (moderators) - Discussion
Mendelsohn, Robert - "Measuring Impacts" |Mendelsohn: Measuring Impacts (55.4KB )|
Janetos, Anthony - "Approaches to Modeling Impacts" |Janetos: Approaches to Modeling Impacts (4.0KB )|
Fisher-Vanden, Karen - "Approaches to Measuring Impacts" |Fisher-Vanden: Approaches to Measuring Impacts (311.7KB )|
Fujimori, Shinichiro - "Global Water Scarcity Assessment under Shared Socio-economic Pathways" |Fujimori: Global Water Scarcity Assessment under Shared Socio-economic Pathways (4.1KB )|
Winchester, Niven & Calvin, Kate (moderators) - Discussion
Rutherford, Thomas - "Modeling Catastrophes" |Rutherford: Modeling Catastrophes Rutherford: Modeling Catastrophes (1.7KB )|
Richels, Richard - "Characterizing Impacts" |Richels: Characterizing Impacts (148.3KB )|
Solecki, William - "Real Impacts - Irene & Sandy" |Solecki: Real Impacts - Irene & Sandy Solecki: Real Impacts - Irene & Sandy (19.0KB )|
Richmond, T.C.; Ciscar, Juan-Carlos; & Huq, Saleem - "Take Home Messages for Policy Makers"
Friday, July 26
Session #2 continued:
Richels, Richard (moderator) - Introduction
Waldhoff, Stephanie - "The social cost of carbon"
Rose, Steven - "Can USG SCC's guide climate policy?" |Rose: USG SCC (1.9KB )|
Yohe, Gary - "Pricing Carbon" |Yohe: Pricing Carbon (730.3KB )|
Moss, Richard - "The Importance of Scenarios in Climate Change Impacts Analyses" |Moss: Importance of Scenarios in CC Impacts Analyses (6.4KB )|
Aldy, Joe - ("a political economy" panelist)
Victor, David - ("a political economy" panelist)
Wiener, Jonathan - ("a political economy" panelist): "Political Economy on Climate Change Policy" |Wiener: Thoughts on the Political Economy of Climate Change Policy (568.8KB )|
Reilly, John - ("a political economy" panelist & discussion leader)
Sue Wing, Ian - "Climate Change Impacts - Connecting Science with IAM's" |Sue Wing: Climate Change Impacts - Connecting Science with IAM's (678.8KB )|
Calvin, Kate - ("Science Needs" panelist)
Reilly, John - "Needs from Science" |Reilly #1: Needs from Science (2.3KB )|
Wuebbles, Don & Kunkel, Ken - ("Science Needs" panelist & discussion leaders)
Edmonds, Jae - "Integrated Assessment Modeling - Where do we want to be in five years?" |Edmonds: Integrated Assessment Modeling - Where do we want to be in five years? (1.0KB )|
van Vuuren, Detlef - (IAM Panelist)
Reilly, John - "MIT's Integrated Global Systems Model" |Reilly #2: MIT's Integrated Global Systems Model (IGSM) (443.1KB )|
Rose, Steven - "MERGE Impacts" |Rose: MERGE Impacts (495.9KB )|
De Cian, Enrica - "IAM's Panel" |De Cian: IAM's Panel (945.3KB )|
Ciscar, Juan-Carlos - ("Representative Consumers" panelist)
Victor, David - ("Representative Consumers" panelist)
Pershing, Jonathan - ("Representative Consumers" panelist)
Papers & readings from Session #2:
Article related to morning panel session |Determining Benefits and Costs for Future Generations (210.0KB )|
De Cian - "Are Cereals Globally in Trouble?" |De Cian: Are Cereals Globally in Trouble? (2.6KB )|
Fujimori, Shinichiro -
Two papers submitted by Toshihiko Masui: "Global Water Scarcity Assessment" |Part 1 (1.5KB )| & |Part 2 (7.4KB )|
Mendelsohn, Robert - "Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change in Developing Countries" |Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change in Developing Countries| (free registration required)
Solecki, William - "NPCC-Climate-Risk-Information-2013-Report" |Solecki: NPCC-Climate-Risk-Information-2013-Report (1.1KB )|
Wiener, Jonathan B & Richman, Barak D - "Mechanism Choice," chapter 11 in Farber, Daniel A & O'Connell, Anne Josepth, eds., _Research Handbook on Public Choice and Public Law_(Elgar, Edward 2010), pp. 363-396. |Wiener: Mechanism Choice (3.3KB )|
Week Two |Week One|
The Agenda: |Final Week One Agenda (650.9KB )|
Presentations: |July 31| |Session #5 Papers| |Aug 01 & 02 Presentations|
Monday, July 29
Weyant, John - "Week Two Overview" |Weyant: Week Two Overview (64.9KB )|
Session #3: Uncertainty Analysis in Integrated Assessment Models
(Conveners: Ken Gillingham and Bill Nordhaus)
Nordhaus, Bill - "Overview of the Project"
Gillingham, Ken - "Major Steps over Last Year" |Gillingham: Uncertainty Analysis in IAM's - Major Steps over the Last Year (1.2KB )|
Rose, Steven - "Observations from MERGE uncertainty modeling, Round 2" |Rose: Observations from MERGE uncertainty modeling round 2 (558.5KB )|
McJeon, Haewon - "MUP - Full Permutation Experiment with GCAM" |McJeon: MUP - Full Permutation Experiment with GCAM (7.5KB )|
Anthoff, David - "MUP-Fund Contribution" |Anthoff: MUP Fund Contribution (215.8KB )|
De Cian - "MUG-WITCH" |De Cian: MUG-WITCH (1.6KB )|
Nordhaus, Bill - "Review of parallel tracks for the project and suggested approach for developing response functions, with example using DICE
Gillingham, Ken - "Approach for Developing PDF's" |Gillingham: Uncertainty Analysis in IAM's - Approach for Development of PDF's (499.8KB )|
Christensen, Peter - "MUP - Expert Elicitation of Long Run Economic Growth" |Christensen: MUP - Expert Elicitation of Long Run Economic Growth (184.2KB )|
Nordhaus, Bill - "Suggest approach for developing response function with example using the DICE model"
(Top of Week 2) (Back to Week 1)
Tuesday, July 30
Session #4: Workshop on Informing Risk Management Decisions in the Face of Deeply Uncertain Sea-Level Rise Projections
(Co-organized by Klaus Keller and Rob Lempert)
Keller, Klaus - "Welcome, introduction, and overview of the decision-problems and analytical challenges." |Keller: Overview of decision-problems & analytical challenges (13.3KB )|
Pfeffer, Tad - "Threshold behavior in ice sheets - Physical origins of deep uncertainty" |Pfeffer: Threshold behavior in ice sheets - Physical origins of deep uncertainty (6.4KB )|
Urban, Nathan (updated) - "Characterizing the probability of tail area events in sea-level rise" |Urban: Characterizing the probability of tail area events in sea-level rise (8.5KB )|
Kopp, Robert - "Using the geological past to inform sea-level rise projections" |Kopp: Using the geological past to inform sea-level rise projections (8.9KB )|
Johnson, David - "Informing sea-level rise adaptation decisions under deep uncertainty"
Lempert, Robert - "Interplay between adaptation capacity, mitigation, and geoengineering" |Lempert: Interplay between adaptation capacity, mitigation, & geoengineering (16.7KB )|
van Vuuren, Detlef - "Representation of Geoengineering in Integrated Assessment Models" |van Vuuren: Representation of Geoengineering in IAM's (1.8KB )|
(Top of Week 2) (Back to Week 1)
Wednesday, July 31
Session #4 continued:
Anthoff, David - "Representation of Different Ethical Frameworks in Integrated Assessment Models" |Anthoff: Representation of Different Ethical Frameworks in IAM's (932.2KB )|
Morgan, Granger - "Beyond Cost-Benefit Analysis" |Morgan: Beyond Cost Benefit Analysis (16.8KB )|
)|Session #5: Scenarios for Climate Research and Assessment
(Organizing Committee: Jae Edmonds, Elmar Kriegler, Jerry Meehl, Richard Moss, and John Weyant)
Moss, Richard - "Overview of Workshop on Scenarios for Integrated IAM-ESM-IAV Research" |Moss: Overview of Workshop on Scenarios for Integrated IAM-ESM-IAV Research (1.9KB )|
Pershing, Jonathan - "Policy Drivers and Information Needs" |Pershing: Policy Drivers and Information Needs (1.0KB )|
Meehl, Jerry - "CMIP5 outcomes and CMIP6 Requirements" |Meehl: CMIP5 outcomes & CMIP6 requirements (263.6KB )|
Riahi, Keywan - "IAM SSP & SSP-RCP replications" |Riahi: IAM SSP & SSP-RCP replications (2.1KB )|
Hurtt, George - "Land use harmonization for CMIP5 and priorities for CMIP6" |Hurtt: Land use harmonization for CMIP5 and priorities for CMIP6 (3.5KB )|
Waldhoff, Stephanie - "Initial SSP Land Use Results - Implications for Near-Term IAM Development" |Waldhoff: Initial SSP Land Use Results (2.4KB )|
Lawrence, Peter - "Experience with Land Use/Land Cover Exchange in CMIP5" |Lawrence: Experience with Land Use / Land Cover Exchange in CMIP5 (2.8KB )|
Calvin, Kate - "Including Albedo Affects in IAM Scenarios" |Calvin: Including Albedo Affects in IAM Scenarios (3.6KB )|
(Top of Week 2) (Back to Week 1)
Click Here for Aug 01 & 02 Presentations
Papers & readings for Session #5:
Moss, Richard -
"A Strategy for Climate Change Stabilization Experiments" |Moss: A Strategy for Climate Change Stabilization Experiments (164.2KB )|
"The Representative Concentration Pathways - An Overview" |Moss: The representative concentration pathways - an overview (750.0KB )|
"The Next Generation of Scenarios for Climate Change Research & Assessment" |Moss: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research & assessment (624.6KB )|
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