### 2021/2022:

A Simple Logic of Concepts, with Larry Moss, forthcoming in Journal of Philosophical Logic.
Is Causal Reasoning Harder than Probabilistic Reasoning?, with Milan Mossé and Duligur Ibeling, forthcoming in *The Review of Symbolic Logic* (preprint here).
An Interaction Effect of Norm Violations on Causal Judgment, with Maureen Gill, Jonathan Kominsky, and Joshua Knobe, forthcoming in *Cognition*.
Inducing Causal Structure for Interpretable Neural Networks, with Atticus Geiger, Zhengxuan Wu, Hanson Lu, Josh Rozner, Elisa Kreiss, Noah Goodman, and Christopher Potts, in *Proceedings of 39th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)*.
Causal Distillation for Language Models, with Zhengxuan Wu, Atticus Geiger, Josh Rozner, Elisa Kreiss, Hanson Lu, Christopher Potts, and Noah Goodman, in *Proceedings of Annual Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (NAACL)*.
A Topological Perspective on Causal Inference, with Duligur Ibeling, in *Proceedings of 35th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)*.
Causal Abstractions of Neural Networks, with Atticus Geiger, Hanson Lu, and Christopher Potts, in *Proceedings of 35th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)*.
Interleaving Logic and Counting (preprint), with Johan van Benthem.
Why be Random?, in *Mind* (archive version here).

On Pearl's Hierarchy and the Foundations of Causal Inference, in *Probabilistic and Causal Inference: the Works of Judea Pearl* (ACM Books), with Elias Bareinboim, Juan Correa, and Duligur Ibeling (preprint here).
Inference from Explanation, with Lara Kirfel and Tobias Gerstenberg, in *Journal of Experimental Psychology: General*.
Logics of Imprecise Comparative Probability, in *International Journal of Approximate Reasoning*, with Yifeng Ding and Wesley Holliday.
### 2019/2020:

Expectations Affect Physical Causation Judgments, with Tobias Gerstenberg, forthcoming in *Journal of Experimental Psychology: General* (see here for a preprint).
Calibrating Generative Models: The Probabilistic Chomsky-Schützenberger Hierarchy, in *Journal of Mathematical Psychology* (preprint here and associated talk here).
Probabilistic Reasoning across the Causal Hierarchy, with Duligur Ibeling, in *34th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI 2020)*.
On Open-Universe Causal Reasoning, with Duligur Ibeling, in *Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 2019)*.

### 2017/2018:

On the Conditional Logic of Simulation Models (2018), with Duligur Ibeling, *Proceedings of the 27th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI)*.

On the Instrumental Value of Counterfactual and Hypothetical Thought (2018), with Fiery Cushman and Joshua Knobe, *Proc. of the 40th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society*.

Bayes, Bounds, and Rational Analysis (2018), in *Philosophy of Science*.

From Programs to Causal Models (2017),
*Proceedings of the 21st Amsterdam Colloquium*.

Normality and Actual Causal Strength
(2017),
with Jonathan
Kominsky
and Joshua
Knobe,
in *Cognition*
(see here for a preprint).

Beyond Almost-Sure Termination (2017), in *Proceedings of
the 39th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society*.

Axiomatization in
the Meaning Sciences (2017),
with Wesley
Holliday,
in *The
Science of Meaning*, (ed. Ball and Rabern).

A Monotonicity Calculus and Its Completeness (2017),
with Larry Moss and
William Tune, in *Mathematics of Language*.

Indicative Conditionals and Dynamic Epistemic Logic
(2017), with Wesley
Holliday, in *Proceedings of TARK*.

Preferential
Structures for Comparative Probabilistic Reasoning
(2017), with Matthew Harrison-Trainor and Wesley Holliday, in *31st AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence*.

Inferring Probability Comparisons (2017), with Matthew Harrison-Trainor and Wesley Holliday, in *Mathematical Social Sciences* (see also here).

### 2015/2016:

Pragmatic Considerations on Comparative Probability (2016), in *Philosophy of
Science*.

Subjective Probability as Sampling Propensity (2016), in *Review of Philosophy and Psychology* (official version here).

Causality, Normality, and Sampling Propensity (2016), with Joshua Knobe, in *Proceedings of the 38th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society*. [Superseded by 'Normality and Actual Causal Strength' above.]

A Note on Cancellation Axioms for Comparative Probability (2016), with Matthew Harrison-Trainor and Wesley Holliday, in *Theory and Decision*.

Intention Reconsideration as Metareasoning (2015), with Marc van Zee, NIPS Workshop on Bounded Optimality and Rational Metareasoning.

A Resource-Rational Approach to the Causal Frame Problem (2015), with Noah Goodman, in *Proceedings of the 37th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society*.
### 2013/2014:

Toward Boundedly Rational Analysis (2014), in *Proceedings of the 36th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society**.*
Higher-Order Syllogistics (2014), in *Formal Grammar*, Springer LNCS.

Recent Progress on Monotonicity (2014), with Larry Moss, in *Linguistic Issues in Language Technology*.

Measure Semantics and Qualitative Semantics for Epistemic Modals (2013), with Wesley Holliday, in Proceedings of *Semantics and Linguistic Theory 23*.

Iterating Semantic Automata (2013), with Shane Steinert-Threlkeld, in *Linguistics and Philosophy*. (For a companion experimental paper, see here.)

A Complete Calculus of Monotone and Antitone Higher-Order Functions (2013), with Larry Moss, in Proceedings of Topology, Algebra, and Categories in Logic 2013.

Information Dynamics and Uniform Substitution (2013), with Wesley Holliday and Tomohiro Hoshi, in *Synthese*.
### 2011/2012:

Inclusion and Exclusion in Natural Language (2012), in *Studia Logica*.
Provability and Interpretability Logics with Restricted Realizations (2012), with Joost Joosten, in *Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic*.

A Uniform Logic of Information Dynamics (2012), with Wesley Holliday and Tomohiro Hoshi, in *Advances in Modal Logic*, Vol. 9.
A topological study of the closed fragment of **GLP** (2011), in *Journal of Logic and Computation**.*
### 2010 and before:

On topological models of **GLP** (2010), with Lev Beklemishev and Guram Bezhanishvili, in *Ways of Proof Theory* (ed. R. Schindler), Ontos Series in Mathematical Logic.
Moorean Phenomena in Epistemic Logic (2010), with Wesley Holliday, in *Advances in Modal Logic*, Vol. 8.
Joint Revision of Belief and Intention (2010), with Eric Pacuit and Yoav Shoham, in *Proceedings of Knowledge Representation and Reasoning, 2010*.

Models of the Polymodal Provability Logic (2008), M.Sc. Thesis, Universiteit van Amsterdam