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Project Tips
Competitive Analysis | New
Product Diffusion | Conjoint Analysis | General
| Groupwork
The teaching teams and students from past years have collected some tips
to help you have a successful project experience. Be sure to also
read the particular guidelines about the project presentations and reports
on the deliverables page.
Competitive analysis
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Competitive analysis frameworks (Porter, RBV) are not ends in themselves.
They are just ways of thinking to help identify opportunities.
Use them to frame and focus your analysis and understand the problem context.
When it comes to actually formulating and analyzing a strategy, you will
likely need to focus on more company-specific issues (e.g. financing strategy,
product and market strategy, people and organization strategy) using a
more rigorous approach (decision analysis, finance, economics, etc.)
Do not include the competitive analysis section as a stand alone section,
without tying it to the rest of your analysis. For example, don't
just draw up a laundry list of Porter's 5 Forces in your industry.
Rather, use Porter's 5 Forces as a framework and checklist to help you
think about the few key driving forces shaping the industry and how it
affects client’s opportunities.
New Product Diffusion
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NPD is not a black box, predictive model.
New product diffusion models are just a way of representing knowledge
based on analogy, expert opinion, or data analysis. Do not overestimate
the predictive value of the model without considering the quality of the
information going into it and what the equations mean.
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NPD applies to industry sales, not company sales.
The model is typically structured to draw on information from past
sales experience about how the rates of innovation and imitation characterize
the adoption rate for a product. The analogies to past rates of innovation
and imitation typically only hold over product categories, not to one competitor's
product versus another. NPD just tries to estimate the total size
of the pie. Marketing, product quality, and pricing variables will
determine how the pie is divided.
Conjoint Analysis
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CA can be a powerful tool.
CA requires some investment of your time to learn the software and
conduct market research, but it is often worth it. It predicts consumer
choices in new products and markets based on real data (primary market
research). It allows you to investigate how changes in product attributes,
including price, directly affect market share.
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Don't stop the analysis at market share outputs of a single run.
Market simulations are just the beginning. For example, perform
sensitivity analysis to study elasticity of demand. Or vary some
of the product attributes to explore the value of improving them.
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Keep focused on the strategic questions you are trying to answer.
From market share you can estimate revenues, from revenues you can
estimate profits, and from profits you can estimate a net present value
of the product investment. However, remember that while CA provides
information about market and value potential, it does not assure that the
potential can be realized. Consider the cost and feasibility of realizing
the actual product represented by the attributes you are modeling.
Also, consider the competitive factors that you did not capture in the
analysis. Try integrating conjoint with other tools or frameworks,
like decision analysis, NPD, or competitive analysis.
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Use the software if you do CA.
We strongly recommend that you use software to take advantage of adaptive
conjoint analysis. ACA Sawtooth
Software (professional version) is available on disk upon request.
We also recommend that you distribute survey files over web (zip files
together for easy downloading). See our sample
conjoint survey for an example on how to construct and distribute a
survey. Also, don’t be hasty in thinking the software has restricting
limitations - there are usually workarounds.
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Do a “dry run” of the survey and analysis before you take the interview
to the field.
You want to catch mistakes before you send out the surveys. You
will typically only have one shot with each of the respondents.
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Don’t focus much on the utility levels.
The utlity measures are just a means to an end. It’s the market
simulation that provides insights.
General
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Focus: don’t think you need to become an industry expert overnight.
Focus on where you can add value for the client.
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Methodology: avoid the shotgun approach. Depth is preferred
to breadth.
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Analysis: don’t place too much emphasis on precise predictions.
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Phraseology: avoid claiming use of tools as if they were brand
names. For example, instead of “ we did a Porter analysis …”
say "competitive analysis."
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Terms: clarify the appropriate objective function with the
client - use precise terms. Don’t confuse terms like profit, sales,
revenues, market share, demand.
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Mindset: above all, be creative and relevant in your analysis.
Remember that you are addressing a real world problem, not a a problem
set.
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Help: don’t be shy about asking the TA for help or references.
Groupwork
Please be sure to have a look at the characteristics of effective teams
as well as the characteristics of ineffective teams. (Sources: The
Human Side of Enterprise, by Douglas MacGregor. The Wisdom of Teams,
by Kaztenbach and Smith)
Characteristics of Effective Teams
1. There is a clear unity of purpose.
There was free discussion of the objectives until members could commit
themselves to them; the objectives are meaningful to each group member.
2. The group is self-conscious about its own operations.
The group has taken time to explicitly discuss group process -- how
the group will function to achieve its objectives. The group has a clear,
explicit, and mutually
agreed-upon approach: mechanics, norms, expectations, rules, etc. Frequently,
it will stop to examined how well it is doing or what may be interfering
with its
operation. Whatever the problem may be, it gets open discussion and
a solution found.
3. The group has set clear and demanding performance goals
for itself and has translated these performance goals into well-defined
concrete milestones against which it measures itself. The group defines
and achieves a
continuous series of "small wins" along the way to larger goals.
4. The atmosphere tends to be informal, comfortable, relaxed.
There are no obvious tensions, a working atmosphere in which people
are involved and interested.
5. There is a lot of discussion in which virtually everyone participates,
but it remains pertinent to the purpose of the group. If discussion
gets off track, someone will bring it back in short order. The members
listen to each other. Every idea is given a hearing. People are not afraid
of being foolish by putting forth a creative thought even if it seems extreme.
6. People are free in expressing their feelings as well as their ideas.
7. There is disagreement and this is viewed as good.
Disagreements are not suppressed or overridden by premature group action.
The reasons are carefully examined, and the group seeks to resolve them
rather than
dominate the dissenter. Dissenters are not trying to dominate the group;
they have a genuine difference of opinion. If there are basic disagreements
that cannot be
resolved, the group figures out a way to live with them without letting
them block its efforts.
8. Most decisions are made at a point where there is general agreement.
However, those who disagree with the general agreement of the group
do not keep their opposition private and let an apparent consensus mask
their disagreement.
The group does not accept a simple majority as a proper basis for action.
9. Each individual carries his or her own weight,
meeting or exceeding the expectations of other group members. Each
individual is respectful of the mechanics of the group: arriving on time,
coming to meetings
prepared, completing agreed upon tasks on time, etc. When action is
taken, clears assignments are made (who-what-when) and willingly accepted
and completed
by each group member.
10. Criticism is frequent, frank and relatively comfortable.
The criticism has a constructive flavor -- oriented toward removing
an obstacle that faces the group.
11. The leadership of the group shifts from time to time.
The issue is not who controls, but how to get the job done.
Characteristics of Ineffective Teams
1. There is low unity of purpose.
Little or no evidence that the group is widely committed to common
objectives or that the objectives are meaningful to each member of the
group.
2. The group tends to avoid discussion of its own maintenance.
The group has taken little time to explicitly discuss group process
-- how the group will function to achieve its objectives. The group does
not have a clear, mutually
agreed-upon approach: mechanics, norms, expectations, rules, etc. There
is often much discussion after a meeting of what was wrong and why, but
this is seldom
discussed within the meeting itself.
3. The group has low or ambiguous performance goals for itself.
It has not defined concrete milestones against which it measures itself.
The group has not given itself the stimulus of a continuous series of "small
wins" along the way
to larger goals.
4. The atmosphere is likely to reflect either indifference
(lots of side conversations, whispering, etc.), boredom, or tension.
The group is not genuinely engaged.
5. A few people tend to dominate.
Sometimes their contributions are way off the point, but little is
done by anyone in the group to keep the group clearly on track. People
do not really listen to each
other. Ideas are ignored or overriden. Conversations after group meetings
reveal that people failed to express their ideas or feelings.
6. Personal feelings are hidden.
There is fear that these are too explosive if brought out.
7. Disagreements are not generally dealt with effectively by the group.
They may be suppressed by those who fear conflict, or there may be
a "Tyranny of the Minority" in which an individual or sub-group is so aggressive
that the
majority accedes to their wishes in order to preserve the peace.
8. Actions are often taken prematurely before the real issues are either
examined or resolved.
There is sometimes grousing after the meeting. A simple majority is
considered sufficient, and the minority is expected to go along. The minority
remains resentful and
uncommitted.
9. There are one or more group members who do not carry their fair share
, failing to meet expectation of other group members. One or more members
are disrespectful of the mechanics of the group: arriving late, coming
unprepared, not
completing agreed upon tasks on time, etc. Action steps are either
unclear (who-what-when) or some group members are unwilling to accept and
complete action
steps at an equal level to other group members.
10. Criticism may be present, but it is tension-producing or hostile.
Some people avoid giving constructive criticism.
11. There is a dominant figure in the group who seeks to gain and retain
power in the group.
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